Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Sochi win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.