Zenit

4 - 1

Tambov

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 11.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.