While Al Ettifaq showed excellent fighting spirit against Al Ahli last time out, that performance would have taken a lot out of them, and the short turnaround time to this match is far from ideal. In addition, they are missing a couple of key attacking players in Gray and Fofana, the latter of whom has been instrumental in recent weeks.
The hosts got a morale-boosting win over the weekend and we feel they will take something from this match as well.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
0.46) 
-0.6) 
