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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mohammed Bin Saud Al-Qasimi Stadium

Al Raed
0 - 0
Al-Ahli


Al Fahad (63'), Al-Subaie (80')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Raed and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Raed
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 5-1 Abha
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Raed 1-2 Al-Ahli

Despite neither side requiring a result on Thursday, Al-Ahli are backed to get the better of their hosts, who have struggled for consistency for nearly the season's entirety. The away side's individual quality and slightly superior momentum give them the edge against bottom-half Al Raed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl-Ahli
16.79% (0.263 0.26) 21.23% (0.186 0.19) 61.98% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Both teams to score 51.48% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.344 -0.34)45.07% (0.344 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (-0.332 -0.33)67.42% (0.331 0.33)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (0.121 0.12)40.15% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (0.111 0.11)76.79% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (-0.248 -0.25)13.99% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5% (-0.491 -0.49)41.5% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 16.79%
    Al-Ahli 61.97%
    Draw 21.23%
Al RaedDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.092 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.34% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 16.79%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.23%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.86% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 61.97%

How you voted: Al Raed vs Al-Ahli

Al Raed
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Ahli
100%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Al-Ahli
0-0
Al Raed
Hamidou (3'), Al-Majhad (90+5')
Sayoud (90+14'), Moreira (90+14'), Fouzair (90+15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal17141253173643
2Al Ittihad17141240142643
3Al Quadisiya17121426121437
4Al-Nassr17105235161935
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli17102530151532
6Al ShababAl Shabab179262518729
7Al Khaleej178272423126
8Al Riyadh177462025-525
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun176561816223
10Damac176382529-421
11Al Kholood175482129-819
12Al Ettifaq175481927-819
13Al Okhdood1743102126-515
14Al Fayha173681427-1315
15Al RaedAl Raed1742112030-1014
16Al Orubah1742111135-2414
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1734102241-1913
18Al Fateh1723121539-249


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