MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 10:57:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Shabab
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Carrasco (45+8' pen.), Carlos (67')
Carrasco (26'), Saiss (51'), Al-Sharari (88'), Radif (90+6')
Radif (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ronaldo (21' pen.), Talisca (46', 86')
Laporte (45+5'), Boushal (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al Shabab
Friday, February 16 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Fayha
Wednesday, February 21 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Shabab 1-3 Al-Nassr

 Al Nassr have put on three very impressive performances since returning from the international break and are the clear favourites to bag the points in this match. The Knights of Najd have dominated this fixture in recent seasons, and we feel they will secure another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Nassr
23.76% (-0.395 -0.4) 21.42% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 54.82% (0.447 0.45)
Both teams to score 62.55% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.09% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)35.9% (0.204 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42% (-0.223 -0.22)57.99% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.42 -0.42)27.95% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.538 -0.54)63.58% (0.539 0.54)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (0.066000000000003 0.07)13.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.13% (0.134 0.13)39.87% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 23.76%
    Al-Nassr 54.82%
    Draw 21.42%
Al ShababDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.76%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.113 0.11)
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.11% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.3% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.59% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 54.82%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr

Al Shabab
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
Al-Nassr
88.2%
17
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Nassr
4-0
Al Shabab
Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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