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Airdrieonians
Scottish Championship Playoffs | Final | 1st Leg
May 18, 2021 at 7.35pm UK
Penny Cars Stadium
Greenock Morton

Airdrieonians
0 - 1
Morton


McCann (45+2'), Roy (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muirhead (90+4')
Lyon (62')

The Match

Match Report

It could have been worse for the Lanarkshire side had keeper Max Currie not thwarted Reece Lyon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawGreenock Morton
44.91%26.72%28.37%
Both teams to score 49.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.75%55.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52%76.48%
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5%24.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04%58.96%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34%34.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62%71.38%
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 44.91%
    Greenock Morton 28.37%
    Draw 26.71%
AirdrieoniansDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.37%

How you voted: Airdrieonians vs Morton

Airdrieonians
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Greenock Morton
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2015 3pm
Airdrieonians
2-1
Morton
Prunty (56'), Blockley (66')
Boyle (37'), Docherty (59')
McCluskey (91')
Russell (24'), McManus (40'), Forbes (77')
Jan 3, 2015 3pm
Nov 15, 2014 3pm
Airdrieonians
0-1
Morton

Parker (81'), Boyle (87')
McCluskey (40')
O'Ware (72'), McCluskey (73'), Crawford (83'), Pepper (85')
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Morton
2-1
Airdrieonians
Barrowman (51'), Crawford (64')
McManus (43'), McCluskey (90')
Watt (15')
Richards-Everton (39'), Fitzpatrick (58'), Richford (63')
rhs 2.0
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