Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.