Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.