Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.