Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dundee in this match.