Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 59.14% | 22.63% | 18.22% |
| Both teams to score 49.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% | 48.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% | 70.8% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% | 16.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% | 45.53% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% | 40.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% | 77.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% 2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.98% 4-0 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.09% Total : 59.13% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.9% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.22% |