Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.