Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Partick Thistle |
48.39% ( 0.19) | 25.74% ( -0.18) | 25.86% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.39% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.01% ( 0.71) | 52.98% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% ( 0.6) | 74.58% ( -0.61) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( 0.38) | 21.91% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( 0.57) | 55.17% ( -0.57) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% ( 0.39) | 35.47% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.76% ( 0.4) | 72.24% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Partick Thistle |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.38% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 25.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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