Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.