Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 76.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.