Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.