Scottish Championship | Gameweek 11

Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK

Palmerston Park

QotS
3 - 2
Ayr

Obileye (29' pen.), Shields (32', 90+1')
Shields (61'), Buchanan (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Reading (7'), Buchanan (90' og.)
Miller (29'), Roscoe (45')

The Match

Match Report

Queen of the South leave it late to beat Ayr.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Ayr United
37.41%	24.97%	37.62%

Both teams to score 57.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.51%

45.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.17%

67.82%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03%

23.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79%

58.21%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14%

23.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.95%

58.05%

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 37.41%

Ayr United 37.62%

Draw 24.96%

Queen of the South	Draw	Ayr United
2-1 @ 8.36% 1-0 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.41%	1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.39% 0-1 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 4.01% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.62%