Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.