Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.