Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.