Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dundee3 - 1Dumbarton
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dundee and Dumbarton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Dundee
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Dumbarton |
74.77% ( 0.02) | 15.54% ( 0.01) | 9.69% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.18% ( -0.15) | 35.82% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.1% ( -0.16) | 57.89% ( 0.16) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( -0.03) | 8.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.52% ( -0.07) | 28.47% ( 0.07) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.78% ( -0.17) | 45.21% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.89% ( -0.13) | 81.1% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Dundee 74.76%
Dumbarton 9.69%
Draw 15.54%
| Dundee | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 74.76% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.54% | 0-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 9.69% |
How you voted: Dundee vs Dumbarton
Dundee
87.5%Draw
12.5%Dumbarton
0.0%8
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Form Guide
