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Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Station Park
Arbroath

Forfar
3 - 1
Arbroath

Morrison (10'), Nditi (61'), Skelly (86')
Skelly (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bird (41')
McKenna (90')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Forfar Athletic and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Montrose 1-2 Forfar
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: St Mirren 4-0 Arbroath
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawArbroath
35.12% (4.999 5) 26.72% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 38.16% (-5.073 -5.07)
Both teams to score 51.75% (1.233 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.901 0.9)53.28% (-0.9 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.76 0.76)74.83% (-0.759 -0.76)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (3.812 3.81)28.96% (-3.81 -3.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (4.485 4.49)64.84% (-4.483 -4.48)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-2.296 -2.3)27.15% (2.298 2.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-3.095 -3.1)62.55% (3.096 3.1)
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 35.12%
    Arbroath 38.16%
    Draw 26.71%
Forfar AthleticDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.657 0.66)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.815 0.82)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.969 0.97)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.628 0.63)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.609 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.293 0.29)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.276 0.28)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.12%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.22 0.22)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 10.25% (-1.08 -1.08)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.524 -0.52)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-1.21 -1.21)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.488 -0.49)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.759 -0.76)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.16%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Forfar
2-1
Arbroath
Hilson (37'), Moore (89')
Hilson (94')
McKenna (19')
Wallace (18'), Little (54'), McKenna (75'), Spence (93')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Arbroath
0-2
Forfar

Swankie (73')
Coupe (14'), Spencer (83')
Baird (42')
Spencer (88')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Forfar
2-3
Arbroath
Moore (58'), Baird (72')
Travis (34'), Hilson (49'), Bain (89')
Travis (82')
Linn (8', 60', 83')
O'Brien (35'), Little (36'), Denholm (68'), Swankie (76')
O'Brien (85')
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Arbroath
3-1
Forfar
Linn (38', 50', 63')
Little (48')
Cunningham (45')
Bain (55'), Reilly (89')
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
Arbroath
2-0
Forfar
O'Brien (45'), McIntosh (89')
Linn (24'), Wallace (37')

Aitken (37'), Easton (41'), Bain (55'), Travis (56'), Hilson (87')
rhs 2.0
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