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Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 20, 2023 at 2pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Raith Rovers

Hibernian
2 - 1
Raith Rovers

Youan (57'), Vente (69')
Megwa (26'), Doidge (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (68')
Byrne (36'), Stanton (87')
Dick (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hibernian and Raith Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luzern 2-2 Hibernian
Thursday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-2 Morton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Hibernian 2-1 Raith Rovers

Despite potentially having one eye on the Aston Villa game to come in midweek, Hibs may still play a strong enough side to get the job done here, taking confidence from the result on Thursday. Getting a result away at Kilmarnock earlier in the campaign shows Raith are capable of competing, but they will have to hope that Hibs have something of a European hangover. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hibernian in this match.

Result
HibernianDrawRaith Rovers
46.99% (0.433 0.43) 22.92% (0.131 0.13) 30.08% (-0.566 -0.57)
Both teams to score 63.02% (-0.844 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18% (-0.96100000000001 -0.96)37.82% (0.958 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93% (-1.036 -1.04)60.07% (1.033 1.03)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (-0.209 -0.21)16.47% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (-0.376 -0.38)46.18% (0.373 0.37)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.821 -0.82)24.54% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (-1.168 -1.17)59.02% (1.164 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 46.99%
    Raith Rovers 30.08%
    Draw 22.92%
HibernianDrawRaith Rovers
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.283 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.04% (0.184 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.08%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Fifth Round
Hibernian
3-1
Raith Rovers
Horgan (22'), Slivka (38'), McNulty (58')
Murray (75')
Apr 26, 2017 7.45pm
Hibernian
3-2
Raith Rovers
Keatings (41', 93'), Holt (81')
Keatings (26'), Ambrose (75')
McManus (67'), Hardie (85')
McManus (67'), McHattie (71'), Court (79'), Thompson (92')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Dec 24, 2016 1pm
Hibernian
1-1
Raith Rovers
Boyle (88')
Martin (62')
M'Voto (49')
Skacel (45'), Thompson (55'), Barr (92')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Raith Rovers
0-0
Hibernian
McManus (32'), Thompson (45'), Matthews (58'), Callachan (64'), Benedictus (66')
Holt (24')
Bartley (38')
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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