We said: Hibernian 2-1 Raith Rovers
Despite potentially having one eye on the Aston Villa game to come in midweek, Hibs may still play a strong enough side to get the job done here, taking confidence from the result on Thursday.
Getting a result away at Kilmarnock earlier in the campaign shows Raith are capable of competing, but they will have to hope that Hibs have something of a European hangover.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hibernian in this match.