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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The SMISA Stadium
Dunfermline Athletic

St Mirren
1 - 0
Dunfermline

Main (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Allan (75'), Todorov (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Mirren and Dunfermline Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawDunfermline Athletic
40.53%25.98%33.49%
Both teams to score 53.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54%50.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61%72.39%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94%59.06%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4%28.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6%64.39%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 40.53%
    Dunfermline Athletic 33.49%
    Draw 25.97%
St MirrenDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.49%