Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
32.58% ( 0.04) | 23.97% ( -0.01) | 43.45% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 60.49% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.3% ( 0.05) | 41.69% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.9% ( 0.05) | 64.1% ( -0.05) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% ( 0.05) | 24.92% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% ( 0.07) | 59.54% ( -0.07) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( 0.01) | 19.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% ( 0.02) | 51.26% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.58% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 43.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |