Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montrose in this match.