MX23RW : Monday, November 25 04:06:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Dumbarton

Stenhousemuir
1 - 0
Dumbarton

Taylor (65')
Rodden (29'), Brown (37'), Taylor (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Blair (62'), Crighton (64'), Gray (66'), Wallace (77'), Pignatiello (81')
Blair (75')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterhead 2-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 0-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 27 at 2pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
46.29% (-0.808 -0.81) 24.07% (0.026 0.03) 29.63% (0.775 0.77)
Both teams to score 58.6% (0.428 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.47% (0.336 0.34)43.52% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.08% (0.328 0.33)65.91% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)18.97% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49% (-0.328 -0.33)50.5% (0.322 0.32)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.699 0.7)27.68% (-0.704 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (0.889 0.89)63.24% (-0.895 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 46.29%
    Dumbarton 29.63%
    Draw 24.07%
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 46.29%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.63%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dumbarton
0-1
Stenhousemuir

Malcolm (34'), Wallace (59'), Lynas (60')
Berry (87')
Bilham (73')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stenhousemuir
2-4
Dumbarton
Aitken (55' pen., 90+7')
Buchanan (33'), Yates (51'), Jamieson (90'), Kirkpatrick (90+1')
Crighton (14'), MacLean (29', 30'), Hilton (42')
Crighton (20'), Long (52'), MacLean (65'), Pignatiello (75'), Wallace (90+1'), Gray (90+2')
Pignatiello (82')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
Lynas (45+4')
Reilly (71'), Orr (78')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Dumbarton
1-0
Stenhousemuir
Gray (38')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stenhousemuir
1-1
Dumbarton
Yates (90+5')
Love (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Elgin CityElgin137512013726
2PeterheadPeterhead137331913624
3East FifeEast Fife1372427141323
4Stirling AlbionStirling136161619-319
5Edinburgh CityEdinburgh135351920-118
6Spartans134451513216
7Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose136251717014
8StranraerStranraer133371117-612
9Clyde132651320-712
10Forfar AthleticForfar13238819-119


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!