Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.03%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.