Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.