Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 12.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hearts in this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
67.05% | 20.08% | 12.87% |
Both teams to score 45.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.03% | 47.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.86% | 70.14% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.63% | 13.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.72% | 40.28% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.55% | 47.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.18% | 82.82% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
2-0 @ 12.84% 1-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 6.42% 4-0 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.39% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.62% Total : 67.04% | 1-1 @ 9.52% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.09% | 0-1 @ 4.73% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.83% Total : 12.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |