Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
51.38% ( 1.25) | 24.76% ( -0.32) | 23.86% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 51.39% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.29% ( 0.47) | 50.7% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.39% ( 0.41) | 72.6% ( -0.41) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.27% ( 0.7) | 19.73% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.25% ( 1.12) | 51.74% ( -1.13) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.02% ( -0.58) | 35.97% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.24% ( -0.59) | 72.75% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |