We said: Motherwell 1-0 Livingston
With neither side one for scoring many goals so far this season, it would be expected that this is another tight clash with little entertainment in front of goal on Sunday.
However, we are predicting Motherwell to edge out their visitors to continue their strong start to the campaign, and extend their impressive run of form at home as well in the process.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 43.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.