Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 43.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
43.61% | 28.63% | 27.75% |
Both teams to score 43.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.79% | 62.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.11% | 81.89% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% | 28.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% | 64.12% |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.05% | 38.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.32% | 75.67% |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 13.92% 2-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.62% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.52% Total : 27.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |