Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.