Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
35.55% ( -0.03) | 27.06% ( -0.04) | 37.39% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.7% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% ( 0.18) | 54.63% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% ( 0.14) | 75.96% ( -0.15) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( 0.07) | 29.35% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( 0.08) | 65.33% ( -0.08) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% ( 0.13) | 28.24% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.05% ( 0.16) | 63.95% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
6 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
7 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
8 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
9 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
10 | Dundee | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |