We said: Alaves 1-2 Levante
Levante were excellent in both legs of the semi-finals, and they appear to have the momentum heading into the final. Alaves are more than capable of picking up a positive result in the first leg, but we just have a feeling that a strong Levante side will be able to claim an advantage on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.57%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Levante had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.8%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.