Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.