Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 37.19%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.65%) and 1-2 (6.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.67%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (13.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.