Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.