Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Elche had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.18%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fuenlabrada would win this match.