Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Granada in this match.