We said: Leganes 0-1 Almeria
A wave of suspension-related absentees and potential change in between the sticks could very well disrupt the harmony in the Leganes camp, and the hosts have very little need to over-exert themselves and risk injury.
Almeria only taking one point against Alcorcon was quite the shock to the system, but the league's best defensive side have proven to be a tough nut to crack on the road recently, and we have faith in Rubi to steer his team back to La Liga courtesy of a narrow triumph.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.