Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 1-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (12.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.