Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
Jul 12, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Anxo Carro
Girona logo

Lugo
2 - 2
Girona

Gonzalez (18'), Herrera (90+6')
Rahmani (30'), Seoane (65'), Kravets (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stuani (31' pen.), Benitez (72')
Calavera (36'), Miquel (84')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Girona.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
LugoDrawGirona
26.88%28.54%44.58%
Both teams to score 43.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.7%62.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.04%81.96%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25%39.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58%76.42%
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09%27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47%63.53%
Score Analysis
    Lugo 26.87%
    Girona 44.57%
    Draw 28.54%
LugoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 6.03%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 14.15%
0-2 @ 9.03%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-3 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 44.57%