Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 28, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Anxo Carro, Lugo
Lugo1 - 0Malaga
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Malaga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Malaga
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | UD Ibiza | 40 | -5 | 51 |
| 16 | Lugo | 41 | -7 | 47 |
| 17 | Sporting Gijon | 41 | -4 | 46 |
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Malaga
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Sporting Gijon | 41 | -4 | 46 |
| 18 | Malaga | 41 | -20 | 45 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | -18 | 40 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lugo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Malaga |
38.23% ( -0.01) | 27.94% ( 0) | 33.83% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.82% ( -0.01) | 58.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.17% ( -0) | 78.83% ( 0) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( -0.01) | 29.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.01) | 65.47% ( 0.01) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% | 32.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.26% ( -0) | 68.74% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Lugo 38.22%
Malaga 33.82%
Draw 27.95%
| Lugo | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.22% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.82% |
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 7.30pm
Apr 4, 2021 5.15pm
Lugo
0-1
Malaga
Valentin (55'), Venancio (82'), Rama (90+1')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Jun 23, 2020 6.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
