Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.48%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 28.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.93%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.