Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 36.01%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (12.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.