Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.