Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad B win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.