Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.