Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.